Table 5 Change in the predicted distribution of five wild bees under scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 based on random forest model. Melitta leporina (ML), Megachile maritima (MM), Halictus tetrazonianellus Strand (HT), Anthidium florentinum (AF), Megachile rubripes Morawitz

ML

Current

1943932

5.44%

21339347

59.72%

12448757

34.83%

RCP 4.5

-

-

11091199

31.03

24640787

68.95

RCP 8.5

-

-

14167487

39.64

21564491

60.35

MM

Current

52833

0.14%

4515188

12.63%

31164039

87.21%

RCP 4.5

-

-

11273189

31.54

24458792

68.45

RCP 8.5

-

-

11504298

32.19

24227761

67.80

HT

Current

40051

0.11%

2938465

8.22%

32753537

91.66%

RCP 4.5

-

-

15766892

44.12

19965121

55.87

RCP 8.5

-

-

18698585

52.33

17033489

47.67

AF

Current

-

-

6950913

19.45%

28781143

80.54%

RCP 4.5

-

-

11287744

31.58

24444311

68.41

RCP 8.5

-

-

9105753

25.48

26626391

74.51

MR

Current

166248

0.46%

1639611

4.58%

33926212

94.94%

RCP 4.5

-

-

4597065

12.86

31134928

87.13

RCP 8.5

-

-

3879527

10.85

31852527

89.14